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Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dennett J.
49' Event
Panakos Y.
64' Event
Day M.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between Eltham Redbacks and Manningham United Blues finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltham Redbacks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Eltham Redbacks
15%
Draws
0%
Manningham United Blues
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eltham Redbacks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eltham Redbacks come out ahead of Manningham United Blues on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Eltham Redbacks taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 16%
Manningham United Blues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltham Redbacks Manningham United Blues
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.15 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues
5:0
May 2, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs Eltham Redbacks
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Dennett J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panakos Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Manningham United Blues Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltham Redbacks 84 / 100
Manningham United Blues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltham Redbacks Manningham United Blues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltham Redbacks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltham Redbacks found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Manningham United Blues conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Manningham United Blues has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eltham Redbacks VS Manningham United Blues
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltham Redbacks

(Home)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2
Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

Manningham United Blues

(Away)
30 Aug
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
Manningham United Blues
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
01 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
25 Jul
Manningham United Blues
1 : 5
Melbourne Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)