Sport Picks
Eltham Redbacks vs North Geelong Warriors
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Eltham Redbacks play North Geelong Warriors in the Victoria Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eltham Redbacks averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. North Geelong Warriors averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Eltham Redbacks won 0, North Geelong Warriors won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Eltham Redbacks and 1.94 for North Geelong Warriors. This points to a North Geelong Warriors double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Eltham Redbacks picked up more points recently compared to North Geelong Warriors.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eltham Redbacks | North Geelong Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.37 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eltham Redbacks scored in 95% of their last 19 games.
North Geelong Warriors let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Eltham Redbacks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
North Geelong Warriors lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 34:16 | 38 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 45:32 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 29 |
| 6 | Melbourne Srbija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 45:34 | 28 |
| 8 | North Geelong Warriors | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32:34 | 28 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33:38 | 26 |
| 10 | Western United U21 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 38:45 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35:41 | 23 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33:42 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23:36 | 15 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10:43 | 10 |