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Eltham Redbacks vs Port Melbourne Sharks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Croucher A.
Own Goal
21' Event
Edwards N.
25' Event
Romas B.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between Eltham Redbacks and Port Melbourne Sharks finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltham Redbacks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eltham Redbacks
6%
Draws
4%
Port Melbourne Sharks
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eltham Redbacks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Port Melbourne Sharks haven't matched Eltham Redbacks's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eltham Redbacks a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 68%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltham Redbacks Port Melbourne Sharks
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Port Melbourne Sharks
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Romas B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Port Melbourne Sharks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltham Redbacks 95 / 100
Port Melbourne Sharks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltham Redbacks Port Melbourne Sharks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eltham Redbacks scored in 95% of their last 20 outings.

Port Melbourne Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Eltham Redbacks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eltham Redbacks VS Port Melbourne Sharks
2.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights20132535:1641
2Northcote City20123534:2039
3Brunswick Juventus20130740:3039
4Melbourne Victory U212094748:3531
5Eltham Redbacks2094748:3531
6Bulleen2086633:2730
7Melbourne Srbija1992824:2229
8Manningham United Blues2092934:3829
9North Geelong Warriors1991933:3728
10Western United U2120811142:5025
11Brunswick City20731036:4224
12Langwarrin2065936:4523
13North Sunshine Eagles20531228:3618
14Port Melbourne Sharks20241410:4810