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Elva vs FC Tallinn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva
Elva Logo

Elva

1 - 1
FT
FC Tallinn Logo

FC Tallinn

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Toome O.
82' Event
Reilson J.
Assist: Poldsaar K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Elva and FC Tallinn finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elva
20%
Draws
40%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Tallinn haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Elva Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva FC Tallinn
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Tallinn
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Elva
0:3
May 7, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Tallinn
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Elva
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Tallinn
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Toome O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 30 / 100
FC Tallinn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva FC Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Elva's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Elva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS FC Tallinn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
Page 1 of 6

FC Tallinn

(Away)
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)