Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Elva in this Estonian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than Helm.
- Win probability leans Helm's way, sitting at 90%.
- Elva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Elva, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%
Helm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elva | Helm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 15 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 4.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 4.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2024 Estonian Cup
Helm vs Elva
1:5
Jul 11, 2021 Estonian Cup
Elva vs Helm
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elva 10 / 100
Helm 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elva Helm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Elva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Helm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.
Solid form: Elva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Elva VS Helm
2 Goals Scored 16
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Elva
(Home) 24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0 Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
12 Aug
Elva
: Raasiku Joker
08 Aug
Elva
2 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6
24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0 Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Aug
Elva
: Raasiku Joker
08 Aug
Elva
2 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
22 Jun
Elva
0 : 3 Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 3
Helm
(Away) 23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
Page 1 of 3
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
07 Aug
Loo JK
2 : 4 Helm
05 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 7 Helm
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid 0
Flora U19 3
Rumori Calcio II 1
FCP Parnu 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Valga Warrior -
FCT Titans -
Kristiine 5
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kose 0
Maksatransport 2
Raplamaa 15
Wolfram 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Kadakas 3
TransferWise 4
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tabasalu II -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 5
Kusti 4
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Elva 3
Helm 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 5
Viimsi JK 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
TBD -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 4
FC Alliance U21 2
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
FC Hell Hunt 0
TBD -
Parnu Sadam -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Karskem Karsklus -
Narva -
HF Beer -
FC Alliance 10
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Helios -
TBD -
Rakvere 3
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Kohvile 7
Young FC 4
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
Tartu Kalev -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11
Aksi Wolves 1
Nomme Utd -
Jogeva -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Imavere Forss 5
Tulevik 26
Lelle 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Hiiumaa 1
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kalju -
TBD -
Mulgi 3
JK 32. keskkool 1
EstHam United -
TBD -
Eston Villa II -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Teleios 0
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu -
TBD -
Legion U21 5
Annelinna Ajax 2
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
1/32-finals
Flora U19 12
FCP Parnu 0
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Valga Warrior 1
Kristiine 4
Maksatransport 1
Raplamaa 3
TBD -
Levadia -
TransferWise 2
Tallinna Kalev 9
Tabasalu II 6
Jarva-Jaani 0
Rumori Calcio 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 7
Legion 21
Soccernet 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Viimsi JK -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 2
FC Tallinn 3
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
Parnu Sadam 1
Flora Tallinn U21 24
Karskem Karsklus 0
Narva 5
FC Alliance 0
Maardu Aliens 2
Eston Villa 3
Helios 3
Rakvere 1
Kohvile 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Saku Sporting 0
Tammeka Tartu 9
JK Poseidon 0
Kuressaare 9
Tartu Kalev 10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0
Nomme Utd -
Imavere Forss -
Tulevik -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tulevik U21 4
Ganvix Turi 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kalju 32
Mulgi 0
EstHam United 0
FC Ararat 6
Vastseliina Tannem -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu 2
Legion U21 0
Tabasalu 11
Arukula Vigri 1
1/16-finals
Flora U19 0
Flora 14
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
Kristiine 0
Raplamaa 0
Levadia 5
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tabasalu II 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Legion 8
Elva 2
Viimsi JK 0
FC Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
FCI Tallinn 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva 3
Eston Villa 0
Helios 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tammeka Tartu 3
Kuressaare 1
Tartu Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 2
Tulevik 10
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Kalju 9
FC Ararat 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Parnu 0
Tabasalu 1
1/8-finals
Flora -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Levadia 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Legion -
Elva -
Paide Linnameeskond 14
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Narva 3
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tartu Kalev 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 3
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tabasalu -
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Levadia 0
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Narva 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Kalju 7
Tabasalu 0
Semi-finals
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Narva 0
Kalju 1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 0
