Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Elva play Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Elva averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Kalju U21 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Elva won 1, Kalju U21 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Elva and 1.75 for Kalju U21. This points to a Elva double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Elva picked up more points recently compared to Kalju U21.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elva | Kalju U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elva Compare
Kalju U21 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elva scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Kalju U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Elva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Kalju U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54:23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 42:31 | 30 |
| 4 | Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 24 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35:36 | 22 |
| 6 | Levadia U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34:33 | 21 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:36 | 20 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34:41 | 19 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:46 | 17 |