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Elva vs Levadia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elva host Levadia U21 in the Esiliiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Elva have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Levadia U21's 2 scored and 1.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Elva have won 3 to Levadia U21's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring Elva. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Elva
20%
Draws
52%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Elva have managed 1.7 goals a game lately — Levadia U21 are scoring more at 2.
  • Model gives Levadia U21 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Elva Clean Sheet 13%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Levadia U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.7 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:2
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
3:2
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 10 / 100
Levadia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Elva's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Levadia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Elva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Levadia U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
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Levadia U21

(Away)
14 Oct
Levadia U21
1 : 0
Kalju U21
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)