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Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva
Elva Logo

Elva

4 - 3
FT
Maardu Linnameeskond Logo

Maardu Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tserezov M.
Assist: Volkov A.
14' Event
Kutt V.
Own Goal
22' Event
Jaagant R.
Assist: Lani G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Elva
15%
Draws
46%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:0
Jun 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:3
Mar 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:3
Oct 14, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:0
Oct 14, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Neltsas R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jaagant R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Tserezov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouadio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 32 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maardu Linnameeskond conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Elva scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Maardu Linnameeskond
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)