Sport Picks
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva 
AI Match Summary
Elva host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tallinna Kalev have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Elva have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.7. Head-to-head, Elva have won 2 to Tallinna Kalev's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Elva to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tallinna Kalev haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elva | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Elva scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Elva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Elva
(Home)Tallinna Kalev
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 58:32 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
