Sport Picks
Elva vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Elva in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tartu JK Welco have won more games recently than Elva.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elva | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elva Compare
Tartu JK Welco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Elva found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Tartu JK Welco has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Elva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Elva
(Home)Tartu JK Welco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 58:32 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
