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Elva vs Valmiera

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Elva
44%
Draws
20%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Elva.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Valmiera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Elva vs Valmiera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 34 / 100
Valmiera 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Valmiera let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Elva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Valmiera
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3
Elva
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
30 Jun
Jarva-Jaani
0 : 4
Elva
22 Jun
Elva
0 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
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Valmiera

(Away)
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
12 Jul
Valmiera
2 : 4
Ogre United
05 Jul
Valmiera
4 : 1
Leevon PPK
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Valmiera
22 Jun
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
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