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Elva W vs Flora W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Elva W Logo

Elva W

3 - 2
FT
Flora W Logo

Flora W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kalamees M.
62' Event
Hudsi K.
77' Event
Purgats K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elva W in this Meistriliiga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Elva W
15%
Draws
64%
Flora W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora W lately — more wins on the board than Elva W.
  • Model gives Flora W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Flora W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Flora W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Flora W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.31 3.48
Goals Conceded 4.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
3:2
Aug 8, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:2
May 16, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs Elva W
7:1
Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:4
Nov 4, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalamees M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hudsi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Flora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Purgats K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzjukina D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
Flora W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Flora W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Elva W scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Flora W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Elva W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS Flora W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
4.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
23 Aug
Elva W
1 : 4
Saku Sporting W
Page 1 of 6

Flora W

(Away)
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
02 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 5
Flora W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 19 12 3 4 55:23 39
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 19 13 0 6 54:30 39
3 Saku Sporting W 19 10 2 7 51:42 32
4 Viimsi JK W 19 9 3 7 41:31 30
5 Harju JK Laagri W 19 4 3 12 30:52 15
6 Elva W 19 3 1 15 25:78 10
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)