Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Rheinheimer E.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Djonga Efambe W.
79' Event
Loum M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 game between Elversberg II and Ahrweiler finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elversberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Elversberg II
35%
Draws
32%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elversberg II come out ahead of Ahrweiler on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elversberg II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 17%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg II Ahrweiler
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.18 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II
3:1
Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elversberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Djonga Efambe W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ahrweiler Compare

Top Goalscorer Loum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg II 41 / 100
Ahrweiler 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg II Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrweiler's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Elversberg II scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Elversberg II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg II VS Ahrweiler
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg II

(Home)
26 Sept
Cosmos Koblenz
2 : 1
Elversberg II
23 Sept
Elversberg II
2 : 1
Schott Mainz
19 Sept
Elversberg II
0 : 0
Engers
12 Sept
Emmelshausen-Karbach
2 : 0
Elversberg II
05 Sept
Eisbachtal
2 : 2
Elversberg II
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Ahrweiler

(Away)
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
05 Sept
TuS Koblenz
0 : 0
Ahrweiler
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