Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elversberg II vs SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elversberg II play SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich in the Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023. Elversberg II are favorites here. Recently, Elversberg II averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Elversberg II won 2, SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Elversberg II and 1.00 for SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich. This points to a Elversberg II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Elversberg II
25%
Draws
15%
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Elversberg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Elversberg II picked up more points recently compared to SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 23%
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg II SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich vs Elversberg II
0:1
May 20, 2022 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich vs Elversberg II
2:4
Apr 10, 2022 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elversberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Heintz T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinmetz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg II 59 / 100
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg II SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Elversberg II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Elversberg II attacking → ← attacking SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg II scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Elversberg II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 18
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50