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Elversberg vs Augsburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elversberg host Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Elversberg at 2.14 goals for, 1.41 against; Augsburg at 2.21 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Elversberg have won 0 to Augsburg's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2015, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.69, favoring Elversberg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Elversberg
30%
Draws
37%
Augsburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Augsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elversberg come out ahead of Augsburg on wins alone.
  • Augsburg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg Augsburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.14 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2015 DFB Pokal
Elversberg vs Augsburg
1:3
Apr 29, 2006 Regionalliga South
Elversberg vs Augsburg
1:1
Oct 29, 2005 Regionalliga South
Augsburg vs Elversberg
1:1
Mar 22, 2005 Regionalliga South
Elversberg vs Augsburg
0:1
Aug 7, 2004 Regionalliga South
Augsburg vs Elversberg
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg 26 / 100
Augsburg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg Augsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Augsburg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Elversberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg VS Augsburg
2.63 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg

(Home)
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1
Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
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Augsburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)