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Elversberg vs Bayern Munich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Onyeka F.
11'
Sub
Onyeka F. In: Darvich N.
Out: Onyeka F.
26' Event
Karl L.
Assist: Kane H.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Elversberg and Bayern Munich finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Elversberg
20%
Draws
52%
Bayern Munich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich come out ahead of Elversberg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bayern Munich a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg Bayern Munich
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 15 30
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.14 3.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Bayern Munich
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Krattenmacher M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bayern Munich Compare

Top Goalscorer Karl L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kane H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg 10 / 100
Bayern Munich 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg Bayern Munich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:9
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elversberg scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Bayern Munich has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Elversberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg VS Bayern Munich
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg

(Home)
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1
Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
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Bayern Munich

(Away)
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Bayern Munich
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4
Bayern Munich
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)