Sport Picks
Elversberg vs Karlsruher
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 
Match Events
23'
23'
Rapp N.
26'
26'
Pherai I.
Assist: Petkov L.
46'
46'
Sub
Gyamerah J. In: Mickelson N.
Out: Gyamerah J.
AI Match Summary
Elversberg in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elversberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Karlsruher haven't matched Elversberg's recent run of results.
- Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 18%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elversberg | Karlsruher |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Karlsruher
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Elversberg
2:3
Jan 31, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Karlsruher
2:2
Aug 23, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Elversberg
3:2
May 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Karlsruher
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elversberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Pherai I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zimmerschied T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Karlsruher Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elversberg 85 / 100
Karlsruher 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elversberg Karlsruher
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Karlsruher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Elversberg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elversberg VS Karlsruher
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elversberg
(Home) 25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1 Elversberg
17 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 1 Elversberg
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1 Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5 Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1 Paderborn
17 Apr
Elversberg
3 : 0 Karlsruher
12 Apr
Elversberg
1 : 2 Schalke
21 Mar
Elversberg
3 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 3
Karlsruher
(Away) 26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2 Inter
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 3 Shimizu S-Pulse
09 Jul
Karlsruher
4 : 4 Freiberg
17 May
Karlsruher
1 : 2 Bochum
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2 Karlsruher
17 Apr
Elversberg
3 : 0 Karlsruher
05 Apr
Schalke
1 : 0 Karlsruher
15 Mar
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 Karlsruher
01 Mar
Magdeburg
1 : 3 Karlsruher
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
