Sport Picks
Elversberg vs Mainz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 
AI Match Summary
Elversberg host Mainz in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Elversberg have averaged 2.29 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Mainz's 2.81 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Mainz slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.50, favoring Mainz. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mainz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mainz a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elversberg | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 2.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Mainz let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.
Elversberg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Elversberg
(Home)Mainz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
