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Elverum vs Assiden Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 3 - Group 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nelsinho
57' Event
Nelsinho
66' Event
Solum M.

AI Match Summary

Elverum in this Division 3 - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Elverum
15%
Draws
0%
Assiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Elverum have won more games recently than Assiden.
  • Elverum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Elverum Clean Sheet 20%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Assiden
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.69 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Assiden vs Elverum
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Elverum vs Assiden
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Solum M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Assiden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 85 / 100
Assiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Assiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Assiden conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Assiden's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Assiden
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
03 Oct
Elverum
5 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
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Assiden

(Away)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
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