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Elverum vs Drobak-Frogn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Solum M.

AI Match Summary

Elverum in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Elverum
22%
Draws
18%
Drobak-Frogn
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Drobak-Frogn haven't matched Elverum's recent run of results.
  • Elverum are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elverum Clean Sheet 20%
Drobak-Frogn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Drobak-Frogn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Drobak-Frogn
1:0
Oct 16, 2004 Division 2 - Group 2
Elverum vs Drobak-Frogn
0:8
Jul 17, 2004 Division 2 - Group 2
Drobak-Frogn vs Elverum
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Solum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Drobak-Frogn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 58 / 100
Drobak-Frogn 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Drobak-Frogn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Drobak-Frogn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Elverum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Drobak-Frogn
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
27 Jun
Lillehammer
2 : 2
Elverum
20 Jun
Elverum
2 : 1
Oppsal
13 Jun
Orn
0 : 3
Elverum
31 May
Elverum
4 : 0
Brumunddal
25 May
Gjovik-Lyn
1 : 0
Elverum
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Drobak-Frogn

(Away)
27 Jun
Fram
1 : 1
Drobak-Frogn
20 Jun
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 2
Rade
13 Jun
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 0
Drobak-Frogn
31 May
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 May
Lyn 2
1 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
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