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Elverum vs Orn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Solum M.
90'
Olofinjana F.
90'
Olofinjana F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Elverum and Orn finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Elverum
15%
Draws
46%
Orn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Elverum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elverum have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Orn
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.68 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Orn
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Elverum
0:3
Aug 25, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Elverum vs Orn
1:1
May 12, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Orn vs Elverum
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Solum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Orn Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 38 / 100
Orn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Orn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elverum scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Orn has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Elverum has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Orn
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
03 Oct
Elverum
5 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
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Orn

(Away)
10 Oct
Orn
0 : 1
Lillehammer
03 Oct
Brumunddal
0 : 4
Orn
26 Sept
Orn
4 : 2
Fram
19 Sept
Orn
0 : 2
Oppsal
12 Sept
Sandefjord 2
1 : 1
Orn
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