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Ely Rangers vs Caldicot Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Ely Rangers and Caldicot finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ely Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ely Rangers
15%
Draws
28%
Caldicot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ely Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ely Rangers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Caldicot
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Caldicot
3:2
Aug 22, 2009 Division 1
Caldicot vs Ely Rangers
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 65 / 100
Caldicot 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Caldicot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldicot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ely Rangers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caldicot's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ely Rangers VS Caldicot
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Caldicot

(Away)
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2
Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0
Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3
Caldicot
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