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Ely Rangers vs Cardiff Corries

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Ely Rangers and Cardiff Corries finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff Corries.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ely Rangers
15%
Draws
34%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ely Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ely Rangers a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cardiff Corries have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Cardiff Corries
0:4
Nov 28, 2009 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Ely Rangers
1:2
Sep 13, 2008 FAW Welsh Cup
Cardiff Corries vs Ely Rangers
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 83 / 100
Cardiff Corries 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Corries let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Ely Rangers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Cardiff Corries registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ely Rangers VS Cardiff Corries
2.6 Goals Scored 2
2.4 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
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