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Ely Rangers vs Taffs Well Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Ely Rangers and Taffs Well finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taffs Well.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ely Rangers
15%
Draws
42%
Taffs Well
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ely Rangers come out ahead of Taffs Well on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ely Rangers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Taffs Well
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 27
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2010 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Ely Rangers
0:0
Jan 30, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Taffs Well
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 85 / 100
Taffs Well 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Taffs Well

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taffs Well has conceded goals in 91% of their last 43 outings.

Ely Rangers scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Taffs Well lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taffs Well
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Taffs Well

(Away)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
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