Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emden vs Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Steffen T.
40' Event
Herbst F.
42' Event
Becker T.

AI Match Summary

Emden in this Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Emden
15%
Draws
7%
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Emden have won more games recently than Blau-Weiss Bornreihe.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Emden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Emden Clean Sheet 68%
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emden Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Emden vs Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
5:1
Apr 17, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe vs Emden
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Emden Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herbst F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emden 95 / 100
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emden Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emden's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Emden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Emden VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Emden

(Home)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Emden
5 : 0
Schoningen
15 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
8 : 2
Emden
12 Sept
Emden
4 : 1
Jeddeloh
06 Sept
Bremer
2 : 3
Emden
Page 1 of 6

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

(Away)
20 May
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
1 : 3
VfL Oldenburg
18 May
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
1 : 7
Eilvese
12 May
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
2 : 2
Heeslinger SC
08 May
Eilvese
5 : 0
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
05 May
Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg
2 : 1
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Emden 34 28 2 4 97:31 86
2 TuS Bersenbruck 34 21 6 7 83:49 69
3 Delmenhorst 34 20 3 11 64:44 63
4 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 17 8 9 61:45 59
5 Hildesheim 34 17 8 9 63:50 59
6 Egestorf-Langreder 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 BSV Rehden 34 16 6 12 55:43 54
8 Vorsfelde 34 15 9 10 54:49 54
9 Meppen II 34 14 7 13 50:53 49
10 VfL Oldenburg 34 14 6 14 59:59 48
11 Heeslinger SC 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
12 Eintracht Celle 34 11 7 16 61:72 40
13 Schoningen 34 10 8 16 53:69 38
14 Arminia Hannover 34 8 7 19 41:63 31
15 Rotenburger 34 8 7 19 39:66 31
16 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 6 11 17 46:75 29
17 Eilvese 34 6 4 24 47:71 22
18 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 4 9 21 36:80 21
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 (Promotion)