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Club Friendly

St. Pauli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Emden play St. Pauli in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Emden averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. St. Pauli averaged 1 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Emden won 0, St. Pauli won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 27, 2007 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Emden and 1.31 for St. Pauli. This points to a Emden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Emden

26%

Draws

28%

St. Pauli

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Emden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Emden picked up more points recently compared to St. Pauli.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Emden Clean Sheet 18%

St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Emden	St. Pauli
Matches Played	24	28
Wins	12	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	2.42	1
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2007 Regionalliga North

St. Pauli vs Emden

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sep 23, 2006 Regionalliga North

Emden vs St. Pauli

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Feb 3, 2006 Regionalliga North

St. Pauli vs Emden

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Aug 6, 2005 Regionalliga North

Emden vs St. Pauli

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 0 - 0

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emden 45 / 100

St. Pauli 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Emden St. Pauli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Emden or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Emden attacking → ← attacking St. Pauli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emden scored in 88% of their last 24 games.

St. Pauli let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Emden went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St. Pauli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 26

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13