Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Mina A.
37' Event
Preciado E.
Assist: Mena A.
52'
Arroyo L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Emelec and Aucas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Emelec
35%
Draws
30%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of Emelec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Emelec's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Emelec Clean Sheet 20%
Aucas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Aucas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Preciado E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 36 / 100
Aucas 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Emelec scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Emelec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Emelec VS Aucas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Emelec

(Home)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
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Aucas

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)