Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Mina A.
37' Event
Preciado E.
Assist: Mena A.
52'
Arroyo L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Emelec and Aucas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Emelec
15%
Draws
51%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of Emelec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aucas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Emelec Clean Sheet 21%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Aucas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Preciado E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 29 / 100
Aucas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Emelec scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aucas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Emelec VS Aucas
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Emelec

(Home)
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1
Emelec
17 Jul
Orense
0 : 2
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
26 Jul
Aucas
1 : 4
Macara
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 1
Aucas
16 Jul
Aucas
0 : 3
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 23 19 1 3 56:22 58
2 U. Catolica 23 11 6 6 38:19 39
3 Macara 23 11 5 7 30:23 38
4 Aucas 23 11 5 7 26:25 38
5 Barcelona SC 23 9 8 6 24:18 35
6 LDU Quito 23 10 5 8 23:18 35
7 Leones del Norte 23 8 8 7 24:22 32
8 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
9 Libertad 23 8 6 9 24:26 30
10 Mushuc Runa 23 7 7 9 29:34 28
11 Guayaquil City 23 7 7 9 20:25 28
12 Emelec 23 7 7 9 19:28 28
13 Orense 23 7 5 11 27:35 26
14 Tecnico U. 23 8 2 13 20:29 26
15 Delfin 23 6 5 12 14:23 23
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)