Sport Picks
Emelec vs Independiente del Valle
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil 
Match Events
19'
19'
Guerrico I.
Assist: Mina A.
21'
21'
Guerrico I.
24'
24'
Sornoza J.
AI Match Summary
Emelec in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emelec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente del Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Emelec.
- Independiente del Valle are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Emelec Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Emelec | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
6:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Independiente del Valle
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Independiente del Valle
0:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Emelec Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerrico I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caicedo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Independiente del Valle Compare
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Emelec 10 / 100
Independiente del Valle 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Emelec Independiente del Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Emelec scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Independiente del Valle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Emelec remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Emelec VS Independiente del Valle
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Emelec
(Home) 02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2 Aucas
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1 Emelec
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1 Emelec
17 Jul
Orense
0 : 2 Emelec
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2 Aucas
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Jul
Emelec
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
31 May
Emelec
1 : 0 U. Catolica
24 May
Emelec
2 : 0 Macara
Page 1 of 3
Independiente del Valle
(Away) 08 Aug
LDU Quito
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0 Manta
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
22 Jul
Independiente del Valle
3 : 0 Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
LDU Quito
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
16 Jul
Aucas
0 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Jul
Mushuc Runa
1 : 4 Independiente del Valle
08 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58:22 | 61 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 39 |
| 3 | Macara | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 38 |
| 4 | Aucas | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 38 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 35 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23:20 | 35 |
| 7 | Leones del Norte | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 32 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | 31 |
| 9 | Libertad | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | 30 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | 28 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | 28 |
| 12 | Emelec | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Orense | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | 26 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 15 | Delfin | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
