Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Napoli G.
25'
Leguizamon A.
34'
Ledesma A.

AI Match Summary

Emelec in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emelec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Emelec
20%
Draws
40%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Emelec have won more games recently than Manta.
  • Model gives Emelec a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Emelec Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Manta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Manta
1:0
May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Emelec
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Emelec
2:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Manta
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Emelec vs Manta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Emelec Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 95 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emelec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emelec's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Manta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Emelec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Emelec VS Manta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Emelec

(Home)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
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Manta

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)