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Empoli vs Juve Stabia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lovato M.
Assist: Elia S.
46'
Sub
Kassama S. In: Dalle Mura C.
Out: Kassama S.
46'
Sub
Zeroli K. In: Leone G.
Out: Zeroli K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Empoli and Juve Stabia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juve Stabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Empoli
30%
Draws
35%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Juve Stabia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Empoli Clean Sheet 18%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Juve Stabia
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Juve Stabia
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Empoli
2:0
Jan 18, 2020 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Empoli
1:0
Aug 25, 2019 Serie B
Empoli vs Juve Stabia
2:1
Mar 29, 2014 Serie B
Empoli vs Juve Stabia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Leone G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carissoni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 36 / 100
Juve Stabia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juve Stabia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Empoli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Empoli found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Juve Stabia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Juve Stabia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

Juve Stabia

(Away)
16 Aug
Frosinone
4 : 1
Juve Stabia
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)