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Empoli vs Pisa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Empoli host Pisa in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Empoli have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Pisa's 1.28 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Empoli have won 2 to Pisa's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Pisa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Empoli
35%
Draws
52%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pisa lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Model gives Pisa a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Empoli Clean Sheet 13%
Pisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Pisa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Coppa Italia
Pisa vs Empoli
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Pisa
2:3
Feb 20, 2021 Serie B
Pisa vs Empoli
1:1
Oct 23, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 14 / 100
Pisa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pisa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Empoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Pisa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
01 Nov
Empoli
2 : 2
Juve Stabia
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
23 Oct
Empoli
0 : 2
Vicenza
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Pisa

(Away)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Verona
1 : 1
Pisa
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Vicenza
0 : 3
Pisa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)