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Empoli vs Sassuolo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Moruzzi B.
59'
Sub
Popov B. In: Zanaga E.
Out: Popov B.
60'
Sub
Lauriente A. In: Volpato C.
Out: Lauriente A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Empoli
15%
Draws
53%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Empoli Clean Sheet 20%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Sassuolo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sassuolo
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Empoli
2:3
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A
Empoli vs Sassuolo
3:4
Apr 30, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Empoli
2:1
Dec 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sassuolo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 32 / 100
Sassuolo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Empoli scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Empoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Sassuolo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
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