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Empoli vs Sassuolo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Moruzzi B.
59'
Sub
Popov B. In: Zanaga E.
Out: Popov B.
60'
Sub
Lauriente A. In: Volpato C.
Out: Lauriente A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Empoli
33%
Draws
27%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Empoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • Empoli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Empoli Clean Sheet 68%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Sassuolo
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sassuolo
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Empoli
2:3
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A
Empoli vs Sassuolo
3:4
Apr 30, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Empoli
2:1
Dec 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sassuolo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 50 / 100
Sassuolo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Empoli's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sassuolo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Empoli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Sassuolo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
25 Apr
Venezia
2 : 0
Empoli
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
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Sassuolo

(Away)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
08 May
Torino
2 : 1
Sassuolo
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