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Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Energie Cottbus host Nurnberg in the 2. Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Energie Cottbus have averaged 1.78 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Nurnberg's 2.34 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Energie Cottbus have won 0 to Nurnberg's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 31, 2009, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.50) back Nurnberg to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Energie Cottbus
35%
Draws
44%
Nurnberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Energie Cottbus haven't matched Nurnberg's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Energie Cottbus taking it.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Energie Cottbus Nurnberg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.78 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2009 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Energie Cottbus
2:0
May 28, 2009 2. Bundesliga
Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg
0:3
Feb 24, 2008 Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Energie Cottbus
1:1
Sep 1, 2007 Bundesliga
Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg
1:1
Feb 18, 2007 Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Energie Cottbus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Energie Cottbus 34 / 100
Nurnberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Energie Cottbus Nurnberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Energie Cottbus found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Nurnberg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Energie Cottbus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Energie Cottbus VS Nurnberg
2 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Energie Cottbus

(Home)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
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Nurnberg

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)