Sport Picks

Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 LEAG Energie Stadion

RW Essen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Energie Cottbus play RW Essen in the 3. Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Energie Cottbus averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. RW Essen averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Energie Cottbus won 2, RW Essen won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Energie Cottbus and 1.44 for RW Essen. This points to a RW Essen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Energie Cottbus

18%

Draws

41%

RW Essen

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Energie Cottbus picked up more points recently compared to RW Essen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 16%

RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Energie Cottbus	RW Essen
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	14	16
Draws	9	5
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	1.78	2.39
Goals Conceded	1.22	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 3. Liga

Energie Cottbus vs RW Essen

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

5:3

Nov 23, 2025 3. Liga

RW Essen vs Energie Cottbus

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Apr 9, 2025 3. Liga

Energie Cottbus vs RW Essen

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Nov 2, 2024 3. Liga

RW Essen vs Energie Cottbus

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Aug 4, 2007 DFB Pokal

RW Essen vs Energie Cottbus

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Energie Cottbus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cigerci T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Engelhardt E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Safi R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Musel T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Energie Cottbus 40 / 100

RW Essen 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Energie Cottbus RW Essen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RW Essen or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Energie Cottbus attacking → ← attacking RW Essen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Energie Cottbus scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

RW Essen let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Energie Cottbus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

RW Essen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 53

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VfL Osnabruck	38	24	8	6	66:34	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72:51	72
3	RW Essen	38	20	10	8	78:66	70
4	Duisburg	38	19	11	8	66:49	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	74:49	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	82:48	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	76:57	64
8	Munich 1860	38	15	11	12	54:53	56
9	Wehen	38	15	8	15	54:52	53
10	Mannheim	38	15	7	16	59:72	52
11	FC Viktoria Koln	38	15	6	17	51:53	51
12	Ingolstadt	38	13	10	15	65:56	49
13	Regensburg	38	14	7	17	54:58	49
14	VfB Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	57:69	46
15	Saarbrucken	38	10	14	14	51:57	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	65:71	43
17	TSV Havelse	38	9	8	21	57:89	35
18	Aue	38	7	13	18	51:70	34
19	Ulm	38	9	6	23	49:78	33
20	1. FC Schweinfurt	38	5	6	27	38:87	21