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England U17 W vs Poland U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Euro U17 Women 2026 Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Burzan Z.
46'
Sub
Burton S. In: Brodie B.
Out: Burton S.
46'
Sub
De Bohan P. In: Ciccardini Z.
Out: De Bohan P.

AI Match Summary

Poland U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
England U17 W
20%
Draws
60%
Poland U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to England U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Poland U17 W.
  • Model gives England U17 W a 20% chance of winning this.
  • England U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor England U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and England U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
England U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Poland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U17 W Poland U17 W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 21 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.18 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Euro U17 Women
England U17 W vs Poland U17 W
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Poland U17 W vs England U17 W
2:3
May 15, 2024 Euro U17 Women
England U17 W vs Poland U17 W
2:0
May 14, 2023 Euro U17 Women
England U17 W vs Poland U17 W
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Poland U17 W vs England U17 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Poland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Burzan Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U17 W 57 / 100
Poland U17 W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U17 W Poland U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U17 W scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Poland U17 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Poland U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

England U17 W VS Poland U17 W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

England U17 W

(Home)
13 Sept
Finland U17 W
2 : 1
England U17 W
10 Sept
Finland U17 W
2 : 2
England U17 W
14 May
England U17 W
0 : 2
Poland U17 W
10 May
England U17 W
1 : 1
Norway U17 W
07 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
England U17 W
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Poland U17 W

(Away)
15 Sept
Austria U17 W
2 : 0
Poland U17 W
12 Sept
Austria U17 W
3 : 2
Poland U17 W
14 May
England U17 W
0 : 2
Poland U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
Finland U17 W
0 : 1
Poland U17 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
England U17 W 0
Poland U17 W 2