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England U18 vs Japan U18

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Inoue A.
30' Event
Kawamura G.
70' Event
Inoue A.

AI Match Summary

Japan U18 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
England U18
15%
Draws
31%
Japan U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U18 haven't matched England U18's recent run of results.
  • Model gives England U18 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
England U18 Clean Sheet 14%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U18 Japan U18
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2023 Friendly International
England U18 vs Japan U18
0:4
Mar 20, 2019 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs England U18
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Inoue A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kawamura G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U18 75 / 100
Japan U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U18 Japan U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: England U18 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Japan U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

England U18 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U18 VS Japan U18
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England U18

(Home)
24 Sept
England U18
3 : 2
Colombia U18
31 May
Cyprus U19
1 : 6
England U18
28 May
Greece U19
1 : 2
England U18
12 Oct
England U18
2 : 3
France U18
09 Oct
England U18
1 : 0
France U18
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Japan U18

(Away)
25 Sept
Austria U18
2 : 1
Japan U18
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
07 Sept
France U18
1 : 1
Japan U18
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