Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England U19 vs Poland U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Campo Gemeos Castro, Guimarães
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sosin L.
11'
Nowogonski K.
14'
Sub
Gieroba S. In: Ciszek K.
Out: Gieroba S.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between England U19 and Poland U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
England U19
6%
Draws
4%
Poland U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: England U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U19 come out ahead of Poland U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives England U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and England U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
England U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Poland U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U19 Poland U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 3.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U19
England U19 vs Poland U19
1:0
Oct 11, 2019 Friendly International
Poland U19 vs England U19
2:5
May 26, 2008 Euro U19
England U19 vs Poland U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Poland U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U19 85 / 100
Poland U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U19 Poland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U19 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

England U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Poland U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England U19 VS Poland U19
3.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

England U19

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
31 Mar
Croatia U19
0 : 2
England U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 3
Spain U19
25 Mar
England U19
0 : 2
Serbia U19
Page 1 of 6

Poland U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Scotland U19
3 : 0
Poland U19
31 Mar
Serbia U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
Italy U19
1 : 1
Poland U19
25 Mar
Poland U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U1932106:47
2Austria U1931116:44
3Greece U1930213:42
4Sweden U1930214:72
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia U1932104:17
2England U1932017:26
3Portugal U1931112:74
4Poland U1930030:30
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U1932106:27
2France U1931205:45
3Switzerland U1931024:73
4Norway U1930123:51
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U1932105:17
2Belgium U1931112:24
3Czech Republic U1931024:33
4Latvia U1931022:73
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine U1932105:17
2Northern Ireland U1931111:14
3Kazakhstan U1931022:43
4Romania U1930211:32
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U1932107:17
2Turkey U1932105:37
3Hungary U1931026:83
4Slovakia U1930032:80
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U19330011:09
2Netherlands U1932015:46
3Finland U1931021:73
4Slovenia U1930031:70
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)