Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England U19 vs Poland U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Campo Gemeos Castro, Guimarães
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sosin L.
11'
Nowogonski K.
14'
Sub
Gieroba S. In: Ciszek K.
Out: Gieroba S.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between England U19 and Poland U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
England U19
15%
Draws
8%
Poland U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U19 come out ahead of Poland U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives England U19 a 77% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and England U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
England U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Poland U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U19 Poland U19
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.74 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U19
England U19 vs Poland U19
1:0
Oct 11, 2019 Friendly International
Poland U19 vs England U19
2:5
May 26, 2008 Euro U19
England U19 vs Poland U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Poland U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U19 85 / 100
Poland U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U19 Poland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U19 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

England U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Poland U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England U19 VS Poland U19
3.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

England U19

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
31 Mar
Croatia U19
0 : 2
England U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 3
Spain U19
25 Mar
England U19
0 : 2
Serbia U19
Page 1 of 6

Poland U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Scotland U19
3 : 0
Poland U19
31 Mar
Serbia U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
Italy U19
1 : 1
Poland U19
25 Mar
Poland U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)