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England U19 W vs Netherlands U19 W

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Euro U19 Women 2025 Stadion Miejski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

England U19 W play Netherlands U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, England U19 W averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Netherlands U19 W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, England U19 W won 2, Netherlands U19 W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 15, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for England U19 W and 1.06 for Netherlands U19 W. This points to a England U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
England U19 W
21%
Draws
35%
Netherlands U19 W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: England U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • England U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Netherlands U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
England U19 W Clean Sheet 22%
Netherlands U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U19 W Netherlands U19 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U19 Women
England U19 W vs Netherlands U19 W
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U19 W vs England U19 W
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 Friendly International Women
England U19 W vs Netherlands U19 W
3:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U19 W vs England U19 W
3:3
Nov 14, 2022 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U19 W vs England U19 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ademiluyi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.28

Netherlands U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuidberg Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U19 W 44 / 100
Netherlands U19 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U19 W Netherlands U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: England U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

England U19 W attacking → ← attacking Netherlands U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U19 W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Netherlands U19 W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

England U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Netherlands U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 49
2.57 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U19 W330011:19
2Italy U19 W31113:34
3Poland U19 W31116:74
4Sweden U19 W30030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19 W32013:16
2Portugal U19 W32016:36
3England U19 W31023:63
4Netherlands U19 W31022:43