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England U20 W vs Brazil U20 W

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Friendly International Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

England U20 W play Brazil U20 W in the Friendly International Women 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, England U20 W averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Brazil U20 W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, England U20 W won 1, Brazil U20 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 8, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.82 for England U20 W and 1.87 for Brazil U20 W. This points to a Brazil U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
England U20 W
19%
Draws
46%
Brazil U20 W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Brazil U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • England U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Brazil U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.82 vs 1.87 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
England U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil U20 W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U20 W Brazil U20 W
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 11 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.46 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Brazil U20 W vs England U20 W
1:1
Dec 9, 2017 Friendly International Women
England U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Brazil U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U20 W 34 / 100
Brazil U20 W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U20 W Brazil U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

England U20 W attacking → ← attacking Brazil U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U20 W scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Brazil U20 W let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

England U20 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Brazil U20 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 73
1.14 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
0.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50