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England U21 vs China U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Yan Dinghao
57' Event
Fry D.
83'
Sun Weizhe

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Toulon Tournament 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
England U21
20%
Draws
28%
China U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • China U21 haven't matched England U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives England U21 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
England U21 Clean Sheet 68%
China U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 China U21
Matches Played 35 22
Wins 26 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.71 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.74 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
England U21 vs China U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fry D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abraham T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

China U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Dinghao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 95 / 100
China U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 China U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: England U21 scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

England U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

China U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS China U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 7

China U21

(Away)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 England U21 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 China U21 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
4 Qatar U19 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland U21 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 France U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Togo U21 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 South Korea U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Canada U21 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Japan U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Portugal U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams