Sport Picks
England U21 vs Luxembourg U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
15'
15'
Goncalves M.
23'
23'
Madueke N.
41'
41'
Iling Junior S.
Assist: Gray A.
AI Match Summary
England U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- England U21 have won more games recently than Luxembourg U21.
- England U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and England U21 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
England U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | England U21 | Luxembourg U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.9 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2024 Euro U21
England U21 vs Luxembourg U21
7:0
Sep 11, 2023 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs England U21
0:3
Sep 2, 1999 Euro U21
England U21 vs Luxembourg U21
5:0
Oct 12, 1998 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs England U21
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
England U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Madueke N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Iling Junior S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Luxembourg U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
England U21 95 / 100
Luxembourg U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
England U21 Luxembourg U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
England U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Luxembourg U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Solid form: England U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
England U21 VS Luxembourg U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
England U21
(Home) 31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1 Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1 England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4 England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0 Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0 Andorra U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1 Moldova U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0 Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0 Andorra U21
28 Jun
England U21
3 : 2 Germany U21
25 Jun
England U21
2 : 1 Netherlands U21
Page 1 of 3
Luxembourg U21
(Away) 06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0 Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5 France U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1 Switzerland U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3 Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1 Luxembourg U21
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0 Luxembourg U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1 Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Estonia U21
2 : 2 Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
England U21
7 : 0 Luxembourg U21
21 Nov
Serbia U21
2 : 0 Luxembourg U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Norway U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Ireland U21 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Turkey U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Latvia U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 6 | San Marino U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1:51 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Belgium U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Scotland U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Kazakhstan U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:35 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32:3 | 30 |
| 2 | Georgia U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 17 |
| 4 | North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Moldova U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 6 | Gibraltar U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3:31 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 35:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Poland U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulgaria U21 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 6 | Israel U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Finland U21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Switzerland U21 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Albania U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Montenegro U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Ukraine U21 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Serbia U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 4 | Northern Ireland U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4:30 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 33:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 | 22 |
| 3 | Greece U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra U21 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovenia U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 2 | France U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Cyprus U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:23 | 5 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Czech Republic U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 3 | Wales U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
