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England U21 vs Slovenia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Štadión Pod Zoborom, Nitra
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Elliott H.
64'
Sub
Gray A. In: Norton-Cuffy B.
Out: Gray A.
64'
Sub
Anderson E. In: Hinshelwood J.
Out: Anderson E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between England U21 and Slovenia U21 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
England U21
30%
Draws
19%
Slovenia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U21 come out ahead of Slovenia U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives England U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
England U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Slovenia U21
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 23 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U21
England U21 vs Slovenia U21
0:0
Jun 13, 2022 Euro U21
England U21 vs Slovenia U21
1:2
Oct 7, 2021 Euro U21
Slovenia U21 vs England U21
2:2
Oct 11, 2019 Friendly International
Slovenia U21 vs England U21
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 95 / 100
Slovenia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Slovenia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: England U21 scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

England U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Slovenia U21 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Slovenia U21
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 7

Slovenia U21

(Away)
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Slovenia U21
0 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)