Sport Picks

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England U21 vs Spain U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Adjarabet Arena, Batumi
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Gomes A.
34'
Baena A.
37'
Blanco A.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Euro U21 2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
England U21
15%
Draws
46%
Spain U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • England U21 have won more games recently than Spain U21.
  • Spain U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • England U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor England U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
England U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Spain U21
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 27 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.75 2.33
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
1:3
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs England U21
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Euro U21
England U21 vs Spain U21
1:0
Jun 12, 2011 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
1:1
Jun 18, 2009 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Spain U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 14 / 100
Spain U21 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Spain U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

Solid form: England U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Spain U21 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Spain U21
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 8

Spain U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Georgia U21 0
Israel U21 1
England U21 1
Portugal U21 0
Spain U21 2
Switzerland U21 1
France U21 1
Ukraine U21 3
Semi-finals
Israel U21 0
England U21 3
Spain U21 5
Ukraine U21 1
Final
England U21 1
Spain U21 0