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England U23 W vs Norway U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

England U23 W host Norway U23 W in the Friendly International Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. England U23 W have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Norway U23 W's 1.62 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, England U23 W have won 2 to Norway U23 W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring England U23 W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
England U23 W
20%
Draws
23%
Norway U23 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • England U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives England U23 W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 68%
Norway U23 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W Norway U23 W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Norway U23 W
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs England U23 W
0:0
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1
Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Norway U23 W
0:2
Sep 2, 2022 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs England U23 W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 68 / 100
Norway U23 W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W Norway U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Norway U23 W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: England U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS Norway U23 W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
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Norway U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Norway U23 W
3 : 0
Portugal U23 W
05 Jun
Norway U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
2 : 1
Norway U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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