Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Lamine Yamal
36'
36'
Gordon A.
Assist: Bellingham J.
40'
40'
Kane H.
Assist: O'Reilly N.
AI Match Summary
Spain in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Spain at 2.59 per game, England at 2.57.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
England Clean Sheet 10%
Spain Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | England | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 23 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2.57 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
England vs Spain
2:3
Jul 14, 2024 Euro
Spain vs England
2:1
Oct 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs England
2:3
Sep 8, 2018 UEFA Nations League
England vs Spain
1:2
Nov 15, 2016 Friendly International
England vs Spain
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
England Compare
Top Goalscorer Gordon A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kane H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Spain Compare
Top Goalscorer Lamine Yamal
1 Goals Assists Leader Baena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
England 26 / 100
Spain 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
England Spain
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
England found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
England has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Spain has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
England VS Spain
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
England
(Home) 06 Oct
England
3 : 0 Czech Republic
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7 England
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2 England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3 Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
England
3 : 0 Czech Republic
26 Sept
England
2 : 3 Spain
15 Jul
England
1 : 2 Argentina
01 Jul
England
2 : 1 D.R. Congo
23 Jun
England
0 : 0 Ghana
Page 1 of 4
Spain
(Away) 06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2 Spain
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1 Croatia
26 Sept
England
2 : 3 Spain
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2 Spain
26 Sept
England
2 : 3 Spain
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1 Spain
27 Jun
Uruguay
0 : 1 Spain
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
