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England W vs Wales W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Stanway G.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Toone E.
30' Event
Hemp L.
Assist: Toone E.

AI Match Summary

England W in this Euro Women matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored England W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
England W
15%
Draws
44%
Wales W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to England W lately — more wins on the board than Wales W.
  • Wales W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and England W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
England W Clean Sheet 15%
Wales W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England W Wales W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.62 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Euro Women
England W vs Wales W
6:1
Aug 31, 2018 World Cup Women
Wales W vs England W
0:3
Apr 6, 2018 World Cup Women
England W vs Wales W
0:0
Aug 21, 2014 World Cup Women
Wales W vs England W
0:4
Oct 26, 2013 World Cup Women
England W vs Wales W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer Toone E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hemp L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cain H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England W 11 / 100
Wales W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England W Wales W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Wales W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: England W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England W VS Wales W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

England W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

Wales W

(Away)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)