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ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between ENH Vilankulo and Desportivo de Nacala finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
ENH Vilankulo
39%
Draws
31%
Desportivo de Nacala
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ENH Vilankulo come out ahead of Desportivo de Nacala on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo de Nacala Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ENH Vilankulo Desportivo de Nacala
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 7 2
Draws 15 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.2
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
2:3
Oct 26, 2019 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ENH Vilankulo 31 / 100
Desportivo de Nacala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ENH Vilankulo Desportivo de Nacala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo de Nacala has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

ENH Vilankulo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

ENH Vilankulo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ENH Vilankulo VS Desportivo de Nacala
0.75 Goals Scored 0.2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
38% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

ENH Vilankulo

(Home)
19 Jul
Costa do Sol
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
16 Jul
Maxaquene
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
28 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
25 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Jun
AD Pemba
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
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Desportivo de Nacala

(Away)
23 Nov
Textafrica
3 : 1
Desportivo de Nacala
16 Nov
Desportivo Matola
2 : 1
Desportivo de Nacala
12 Nov
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Desportivo de Nacala
09 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
0 : 0
Desportivo de Nacala
24 Oct
Desportivo de Nacala
2 : 2
Ferroviario Lichinga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)