Sport Picks
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nacala Prediction & H2H Stats
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between ENH Vilankulo and Ferroviario Nacala finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ENH Vilankulo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nacala come out ahead of ENH Vilankulo on wins alone.
- Model gives ENH Vilankulo a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ENH Vilankulo | Ferroviario Nacala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0
May 23, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
Sep 22, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ENH Vilankulo 40 / 100
Ferroviario Nacala 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ENH Vilankulo Ferroviario Nacala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: ENH Vilankulo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: ENH Vilankulo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Ferroviario Nacala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ferroviario Nacala has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
ENH Vilankulo VS Ferroviario Nacala
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
ENH Vilankulo
(Home) 16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0 AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0 AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
09 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 1 Sofala
06 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
28 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Nacala
(Away) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
