Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nampula

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between ENH Vilankulo and Ferroviario Nampula finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ENH Vilankulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
ENH Vilankulo
30%
Draws
41%
Ferroviario Nampula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nampula come out ahead of ENH Vilankulo on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ENH Vilankulo Ferroviario Nampula
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
2:1
May 19, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
May 18, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ENH Vilankulo 31 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ENH Vilankulo Ferroviario Nampula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ENH Vilankulo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ferroviario Nampula let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: ENH Vilankulo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ENH Vilankulo VS Ferroviario Nampula
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ENH Vilankulo

(Home)
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
13 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
09 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 1
Sofala
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Ferroviario Nampula

(Away)
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
1 : 3
Associacao Black Bulls
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
3 Ferroviario Beira 16 8 7 1 21:9 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 16 8 4 4 19:18 28
5 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 15 7 3 5 13:13 24
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 16 4 7 5 9:10 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
12 ENH Vilankulo 15 2 8 5 16:16 14
13 Maxaquene 16 1 7 8 7:17 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)