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Ensenada FC vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Ensenada FC Logo

Ensenada FC

0 - 3
FT
Alacranes de Durango Logo

Alacranes de Durango

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vidana Galvan O.
29' Event
Quinones F.
90' Event
Parra Teran J. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alacranes de Durango in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alacranes de Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ensenada FC
20%
Draws
50%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alacranes de Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ensenada FC haven't matched Alacranes de Durango's recent run of results.
  • Alacranes de Durango are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alacranes de Durango have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ensenada FC Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 21
Draws 2 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Ensenada FC
6:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ensenada FC vs Alacranes de Durango
0:3
Jan 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ensenada FC vs Alacranes de Durango
0:0
Oct 31, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Ensenada FC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ensenada FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidana Galvan O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinones F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ensenada FC 10 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ensenada FC Alacranes de Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ensenada FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Alacranes de Durango let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Ensenada FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ensenada FC VS Alacranes de Durango
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ensenada FC

(Home)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Ensenada FC
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
21 Mar
Alacranes de Durango
6 : 0
Ensenada FC
17 Mar
Ensenada FC
6 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
07 Mar
Colima FC
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
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Alacranes de Durango

(Away)
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2
Leones Negros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)